Recession Coming In 2025

Recession Coming In 2025. Fed officials look poised to cut interest rates later this year, but the outlook on a recession still looks uncertain. Under that interpretation, the period in which the probability of an official recession starting would be greater than 70% is running from 25 july 2023 through at least 10 june.

The probability of a recession happening by the end of 2025 remains unchanged at 45%. Bloomberg economics says 38% chance of us downturn.